Model Performance

AI Prediction Track Record

How CricIntel's model performs across multiple dimensions — winner calls, score projections, and conviction-based picks. Updated after every match.

80%
High Confidence Picks4/5 correct (>60% conviction)
82%
Score PredictionAverage 1st innings accuracy
11
Correct Callsout of 17 decided matches
High Conviction Accuracy80%
When model confidence exceeds 60%, 4 of 5 picks were correct
Score Projection Accuracy82%
4 of 13 projections within 15 runs of actual (31%)
Best Winning Streak24%
4 consecutive correct predictions — longest streak this season

3 of 6 incorrect picks were coin-flip matches where the model gave <55% confidence — essentially toss-ups where the margin was razor-thin.

Match-by-Match

55 matches
MI vs KKRHigh Conf
29 Mar
Predicted: MI (71%)
MI won
Correctly PredictedReview →
RR vs CSK
30 Mar
Predicted: RR (51%)
RR won
Correctly PredictedReview →
PBKS vs GTHigh Conf
31 Mar
Predicted: PBKS (78%)
PBKS won
Correctly PredictedReview →
LSG vs DCHigh Conf
1 Apr
Predicted: DC (64%)
DC won
Correctly PredictedReview →
DC vs MI
4 Apr
Predicted: DC (52%)
DC won
Correctly PredictedReview →
GT vs RR
4 Apr
Predicted: RR (54%)
RR won
Correctly PredictedReview →
SRH vs LSGHigh Conf
5 Apr
Predicted: LSG (60%)
LSG won
Correctly PredictedReview →
RR vs MI
7 Apr
Predicted: RR (50%)
RR won
Correctly PredictedReview →
RR vs RCB
10 Apr
Predicted: RR (50%)
RR won
Correctly PredictedReview →
CSK vs DC
11 Apr
Predicted: CSK (59%)
CSK won
Correctly PredictedReview →
PBKS vs SRH
11 Apr
Predicted: PBKS (50%)
PBKS won
Correctly PredictedReview →
RCB vs SRH
28 Mar
Predicted: SRH (53%)
RCB won
KKR vs SRH
2 Apr
Predicted: KKR (55%)
SRH won
CSK vs PBKS
3 Apr
Predicted: CSK (62%)
PBKS won
RCB vs CSK
5 Apr
Predicted: CSK (59%)
RCB won
DC vs GT
8 Apr
Predicted: DC (50%)
GT won
KKR vs LSG
9 Apr
Predicted: KKR (53%)
LSG won
KKR vs PBKS
6 Apr
Predicted: KKR (50%)
No Result (Rain)
MI vs RCB
12 Apr
Predicted: RCB (77%)
Upcoming
LSG vs GT
12 Apr
Predicted: LSG (50%)
Upcoming
SRH vs RR
13 Apr
Predicted: SRH (50%)
Upcoming
CSK vs KKR
14 Apr
Predicted: CSK (50%)
Upcoming
RCB vs LSG
15 Apr
Predicted: RCB (50%)
Upcoming
MI vs PBKS
16 Apr
Predicted: MI (50%)
Upcoming
SRH vs CSK
18 Apr
Predicted: CSK (70%)
Upcoming
RCB vs DC
18 Apr
Predicted: DC (57%)
Upcoming
PBKS vs LSG
19 Apr
Predicted: PBKS (50%)
Upcoming
KKR vs RR
19 Apr
Predicted: KKR (50%)
Upcoming
GT vs MI
20 Apr
Predicted: GT (50%)
Upcoming
SRH vs DC
21 Apr
Predicted: SRH (50%)
Upcoming
LSG vs RR
22 Apr
Predicted: RR (53%)
Upcoming
MI vs CSK
23 Apr
Predicted: CSK (67%)
Upcoming
CSK vs MI
23 Apr
Predicted: MI (73%)
Upcoming
RCB vs GT
24 Apr
Predicted: GT (71%)
Upcoming
GT vs RCB
24 Apr
Predicted: RCB (83%)
Upcoming
RR vs SRH
25 Apr
Predicted: RR (50%)
Upcoming
DC vs PBKS
25 Apr
Predicted: DC (50%)
Upcoming
CSK vs GT
26 Apr
Predicted: GT (51%)
Upcoming
LSG vs KKR
26 Apr
Predicted: LSG (50%)
Upcoming
GT vs CSK
26 Apr
Predicted: CSK (60%)
Upcoming
DC vs RCB
27 Apr
Predicted: RCB (77%)
Upcoming
PBKS vs RR
28 Apr
Predicted: PBKS (54%)
Upcoming
MI vs SRH
29 Apr
Predicted: MI (51%)
Upcoming
GT vs RCB
30 Apr
Predicted: GT (50%)
Upcoming
RR vs DC
1 May
Predicted: RR (50%)
Upcoming
CSK vs MI
2 May
Predicted: CSK (50%)
Upcoming
GT vs PBKS
3 May
Predicted: PBKS (76%)
Upcoming
SRH vs KKR
3 May
Predicted: SRH (50%)
Upcoming
MI vs LSG
4 May
Predicted: LSG (54%)
Upcoming
DC vs CSK
5 May
Predicted: DC (56%)
Upcoming
SRH vs PBKS
6 May
Predicted: SRH (50%)
Upcoming
LSG vs RCB
7 May
Predicted: LSG (50%)
Upcoming
DC vs KKR
8 May
Predicted: DC (51%)
Upcoming
MI vs RR
24 May
Predicted: MI (50%)
Upcoming
KKR vs DC
24 May
Predicted: KKR (50%)
Upcoming

How We Measure

High Confidence Picks: When our model assigns >60% win probability to a team, these are our strongest calls. This is where the model's edge is most visible.

Score Projection: We project a mid-range first-innings total for every match. Accuracy measures how close that projection was to the actual score.

Automatic Logging: Predictions are locked in when the match report is generated and cannot be edited after the fact. What you see is what the model said before the first ball.