How does CricIntel predict match outcomes?

CricIntel uses XGBoost machine learning models trained on ball-by-ball cricket data. The model analyzes pitch conditions, player form, venue history, weather impact, and team composition to generate probability-based predictions.

What data sources does CricIntel use?

CricIntel uses CricSheet ball-by-ball data covering 10+ years of international and franchise cricket, live weather data from WeatherAPI, and real-time fixture data from CricAPI.

Is CricIntel free to use?

Yes, CricIntel offers a free plan with 1 prediction report per day. The Pro plan at $7.99/month unlocks unlimited reports, player performance predictions, AI-generated narratives, and advanced analytics.

Which cricket formats does CricIntel support?

CricIntel supports T20 matches including IPL, BBL, PSL, SA20, and international T20s. ODI and Test match support is on the roadmap.

How accurate are CricIntel predictions?

CricIntel provides probability-based predictions, not guaranteed outcomes. The model's predictions are calibrated using Platt scaling to ensure the stated probabilities reflect real-world likelihood.

IPL 2026T20Free Preview

PBKS vs RR: Match 40 at Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium

Punjab Kings face Rajasthan Royals at Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur in Match 40 of IPL 2026 — a contest that could have significant implications for both sides as the tournament progresses through its league stage.

Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium, Mullanpur|April 28, 2026|7:30 PM IST

5 min read|CricIntel Editorial

Venue — Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium

Punjab's new home ground in Mullanpur offers pace-friendly conditions with good bounce and carry. The surface assists seam bowlers early before settling into a good batting track.

The Contest

Punjab Kings and Rajasthan Royals meet at Maharaja Yadavindra Singh International Cricket Stadium in what promises to be a compelling IPL 2026 encounter. Both sides will be looking to build momentum in a tournament where consistency separates contenders from pretenders, and every match carries weight in the race for the top four.

The team that adapts better to the conditions on offer, manages its powerplay effectively, and holds nerve in the death overs will likely walk away with two crucial points.

The Verdict

This is a match where preparation meets opportunity. Both PBKS and RR have the squad depth to compete, but the side that reads the surface better and executes under pressure will take the spoils. Expect the contest to be decided in the middle overs, where tactical discipline and match awareness matter most.

Want the full probabilistic breakdown, pitch map, and Dream XI recommendation for PBKS vs RR? Unlock your CricIntel Pro report — built on venue data, player form curves, and match-up modelling that goes deeper than any preview can.

Open Match Analyzer See a Sample Report

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Predicted Playing XI for Both Teams

Our AI predicts the most likely starting 11 for each team based on current Orange/Purple Cap form, recent starter patterns, and role fit. Constraints applied: 1 keeper, 4-5 batters, 2-3 all-rounders, 3-4 bowlers, max 4 overseas. Updates daily at 3 AM IST.

PBKSPunjab Kings

2/4 overseas

1
Vishnu Vinod
Wicket-KeeperStarted last match · Played here before
Score
33
2
Shreyas Iyer
BatterStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
3
Nehal Wadhera
BatterStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
4
Priyansh Arya
BatterStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
5
Harnoor Singh Pannu
BatterSquad regular
Score
5
6
Shashank Singh
All-RounderStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
7
Harpreet Brar
All-RounderStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
8
Marcus StoinisOverseas
All-RounderStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
9
Yuzvendra Chahal
BowlerStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
10
Xavier BartlettOverseas
BowlerStarted 2 of last 3 · Played here before · Automatic XI pick
Score
47
11
Pravin Dubey
BowlerStarted last match · Played here before
Score
33

RRRajasthan Royals

4/4 overseas

1
Dhruv Jurel
Wicket-KeeperStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
2
Yashasvi Jaiswal
BatterStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
3
Shimron HetmyerOverseas
BatterStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
4
Vaibhav Suryavanshi
BatterStarted last match
Score
18
5
Riyan Parag
All-RounderStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
6
Ravindra Jadeja
All-RounderStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
7
Donovan FerreiraOverseas
All-RounderStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
8
Jofra ArcherOverseas
BowlerStarted 2 of last 3 · Top-5 bowler (#3) · Automatic XI pick
Score
54
9
Ravi Bishnoi
BowlerStarted 2 of last 3 · Top-15 bowler · Automatic XI pick
Score
48
10
Nandre BurgerOverseas
BowlerStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32
11
Sandeep Sharma
BowlerStarted 2 of last 3 · Automatic XI pick
Score
32

How is this calculated?

Composite Score (0-100) blends four signals per player:

Current-season form (35%) — Position in Orange Cap (top batters) or Purple Cap (top bowlers). #1 worth more than #15.
Regular-starter rate (25%) — How often they've been in the confirmed XI across past matches.
Role fit + base form (20%) — Squad-level form rating and role suitability.
Match availability (filter) — Injured / ruled-out players excluded.

Final XI is constrained: max 4 overseas, exactly 1 keeper, role-balanced. Confirmed XIs (after toss) override predictions automatically when available.